"Bilateral Treaties and Foreign Policy Convergence: Evidence from Bilat" by Adam Chilton and Weijia Rao
 

Bilateral Treaties and Foreign Policy Convergence: Evidence from Bilateral Investment Treaties (forthcoming)

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2025

ISSN

1465-7260

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Language

en-US

Abstract

One potential reason for a country to sign a bilateral treaty is that it could result in their new treaty partners having more similar foreign policy preferences. But although commentators have argued that countries often sign treaties for this reason, there is not any empirical research directly testing whether this kind of convergence in foreign policy preferences occurs. We investigate this question by testing whether countries that sign Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs) subsequently vote more similarly at the United Nations (UN). Using a stacked event study research design and a sample of BITs signed between 1946 and 2015, we find that signing a BIT is associated with a 4 percent convergence in UN Ideal Points in the following five years. These results are consistent for BITs regardless of their likely economic impact. We further show that the convergence is driven by developing countries aligning their UN voting more closely with their more developed treaty partners and that the largest effects occurred during the decade following the end of the Cold War.

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