Residual Seasonality and Monetary Policy

Document Type

Blog Post

Publication Date

8-24-2015

Publisher

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Language

en-US

Abstract

Much recent discussion has suggested that the official real GDP data are inadequately adjusted for recurring seasonal fluctuations. A similar pattern of insufficient seasonal adjustment also affects the published data for a key measure of price inflation. Still, such residual seasonality in the published output and inflation statistics is unlikely to mislead Federal Reserve policymakers or adversely affect the setting of monetary policy.

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